Out of Money, Out of Missiles: Trump's Bill, Europe's Empty Purse and Zelensky's Last Train
Contents 9 sections
- Introduction
- The Lost-War Arithmetic
- Thirty-Six Billion for the Administration
- The Loan That Never Existed
- Step by Step Toward the Railway Station
- Five Hundred Drones and a Failed Bid for Moscow's Skies
- The CIA Fact That Came From Telegram
- Who Removes Zelensky — and How He Leaves
- After the Fall: No Insurgency, a Dirty War
Introduction
Recorded three days after Ukraine's big drone strike toward Moscow failed to break through, this Duran episode is a war-economy broadcast built on one reading: the money and the missiles are running out at the same moment the war is understood to be lost. Alexander Mercouris's framing line: "the madness is a product of the gathering slow-motion collapse" — on the front lines, in the war in the sky, in the economy — with the realization spreading through Kiev, Western capitals and Washington "that this war is being lost." From there the hosts run the arithmetic the press avoids: a 36-billion ask that lands in a corruption sink, a 90-billion-euro loan that was never actually raised, a Trump demand for roughly 300 billion — and, at the end of the line, Zelensky's exit plan.
The Lost-War Arithmetic
Alex Christoforou's opening list sets the scene: Europeans pushing for more extreme measures against Russia, Zelensky lobbying the UN to close Russian airspace, Russian forces advancing along the entire front — Kharkov, Orekhov, Dobropillya, "problems everywhere." Mercouris organizes the episode around the collapse reading: every hoped-for miracle — scaring or bribing the Russians, a new weapon, the drone offensive, sanctions, a crisis in Russia, Putin falling — has failed to arrive, and the panic in the collective West is what that realization looks like.
The emblem of the panic is the "extraordinary drone incident in Leipzig": a drone found beside a parked An-124, later declared probably connected to Russia — and on that basis "a whole narrative about Russia waging hybrid war against Europe", with talk of a desperate Kremlin about to attack the continent. Except, Mercouris notes, the story that "a desperate Putin is going to somehow immediately attack the whole of Europe" "makes no sense at a logical level or any other level, and besides it isn't true" — German government attribution of the drone to Russia is what the narrative was built on (corroborated by The Aviationist's September 1 report). The escalation mood is real all the same: harassment of Russian ships, the Russian House in Berlin closed, demands from Washington that the Europeans buy more American weapons for cash.
Thirty-Six Billion for the Administration
The money chapter opens with Zelensky's ask: 36 billion "just for his administration", plus another 27 billion for the military. Christoforou's reading of European incentives: the 27 billion would be welcome — it comes back to European industry — but the administration money is "just lost to corruption."
The European cupboard, in the hosts' telling, is bare either way. Reports that "the UK defense ministry is absolutely broke", telling the army to cut non-essential training. Germany crumbling, Volkswagen "in big freaking trouble" — and Merz blaming China and Trump for what Mercouris pins on Merz and Germany's globalist elite: cutting off all Russian trade and cheap energy.
And even funded, there is nothing to buy: "There are no interceptors. There are no Patriot missiles" — the US has nothing to sell. Into this steps Trump with a reverse bill: "I want money from the Europeans for all the weapons that Biden gave them for free." Christoforou's observation cuts against the received view that Trump inflates the figures: the numbers roughly match what Biden actually gave — "lowballing it, not increasing it," in Mercouris's words.
The Loan That Never Existed
The longest passage is the post-mortem of the 90-billion-euro loan package — the one Zelensky is still drawing on paper, asking "Can you advance me more money from my 90 billion euro loan package?" Mercouris reconstructs the anatomy: the bonds were to be guaranteed by the European Commission and governments, but the loan "was never really floated in the way that it was supposed to be" — because "the bonds had no repayment date." Repayment was due when Russia was defeated and paid Ukraine reparations — "which is to say never." No investor would buy on that basis, so the bonds were never placed: "the 90 billion euro loan properly speaking does not exist."
What has actually moved: some European governments — "by which we mean Germany" — advancing money and setting it off against the loan. And even the full 90 billion "would not have been enough to get Ukraine through one year," let alone the promised two, once the drone wars, the Black Sea blockade and economic collapse destroyed domestic funding. Every new tranche is "more money being thrown down the drain" — the drain, Mercouris adds, with the golden toilets at its start.
Step by Step Toward the Railway Station
The under-covered story of the week, in Mercouris's view, is geographic: the Russians are attacking with Geran drones west of Kiev, and launched what looked like a warning strike on a facility in central Kiev not far from the central railway station — "the very same railway station which the Europeans use to go to Kiev and which Zelensky uses to exit Kiev." Add the reported loss of 500 of the Ukrainian railway system's locomotives — Russian figures, "but I suspect they are probably true" — and the trajectory is clear: "step by step by step closer to the moment when Kiev itself is going to be cut off."
Would the Russians actually strike it? "Medvedev has threatened it." If evacuation comes, Mercouris expects the Russians to open road corridors for Europeans, Americans and diplomats — but he "very much" doubts safe passage for Zelensky "and people like him." Christoforou sharpens it into the episode's title move: cutting the Poland rail link "would be a devastating move... an absolutely devastating, crushing move" — and exactly what follows if the airspace-closure campaign continues. His verdict on that campaign: "a bonehead stupid idiotic idea." Mercouris's mechanism: every escalation plan was premised on "creating an internal crisis in Russia" to bring Putin down — and each has instead accelerated Ukraine's crisis.
Five Hundred Drones and a Failed Bid for Moscow's Skies
The strike that frames the broadcast: launched straight after Zelensky's airspace warning — "about 500 drones by some claims" — hoping to "break through and reach the airports," since even an hour's closure would lend weight to the unsafe-airspace story. Moscow's air defenses are now organized well enough that "none of the drones were able to get through" — hundreds shot down (Kommersant's September 3 report bears out the scale: 548 drones toward Moscow over two days, 143 downed on approach, all three airports restricted).
The arithmetic of failure: the drones cost between 60 and 200 thousand dollars apiece — massively overpriced, and, with Starlink terminals and rare-earth components, draining the West's limited rare-earth stockpiles too.
The CIA Fact That Came From Telegram
Christoforou's exhibit for the state of Washington's information flow is CIA Director John Ratcliffe — "completely delusional and completely misinformed." When Ratcliffe said Russian soldiers "have 35 minutes" or so to live at the front line, "he got that information from one telegram channel" — a small one, "based completely on rumor and hyperbole." The channel even claimed an article as its source, "for which they provided no reference and which no one could find" — the world's most powerful intelligence agency repeating it regardless (press documentation supports the figure's Telegram origin and pre-Ratcliffe Foreign Policy citation, qualifying rather than fully confirming the hosts' sourcing story).
Who can tell Trump? The rational camp is shrinking — "We've lost another one. Dan Driscoll" is gone; Bessent, no friend of Kiev's, was described at Chattanooga by a witness to Zelensky "screaming at the US Treasury Secretary" — but such voices haven't broken through. The dominant figures remain "Ratcliffe and Kellogg and all of those others," plus congressional hardliners — and they have won the internal battles, which is why Trump now owns the war.
Who Removes Zelensky — and How He Leaves
Prompted by a Foreign Policy piece hinting at Zelensky's disintegration, Mercouris works the endgame. Nothing removes Zelensky but force: "I don't think there's anything short of a coup that will do that." The Europeans keep him propped up — when Fedorov, the sacked former defense minister, floated new elections, they were horrified, and bought him off "with a cushy job in Italy." The security underpinning: "the SBU has become deeply connected to Zelensky and his operation", and "there are men with guns in Kiev" protecting him.
The real threat is internal and from the right: if the Azov brigades holding Donbass are trapped, enough ruthless people remain outside — starting with Biletsky, "the leader of Azov", whom Mercouris does not expect to let himself be encircled. But the hosts' central guess is quieter: Zelensky's plan is to hold on, keep money flowing, pay off enough people, then "get on that last train with the suitcases bulging with cash" and escape west — French bodyguards reportedly already in place — toward "a government in exile", probably in France.
After the Fall: No Insurgency, a Dirty War
The exile government would not lack sponsors: the Europeans will back it as "a good income, a good revenue stream". And the conflict does not end at the front line's collapse — not even if the Russians take Kiev and "go further west and capture Lvov."
But Mercouris expects no insurgency: a "population made up mostly of pensioners" is the wrong demographic for it. What continues is the dirty war — assassinations inside Russia, another officer killed in Saratov beside "the giant Engels air base" — with every attack eventually "mirrored... by a much bigger" Russian one. "It is going to be very ugly... I'm afraid it's coming."
Interview Highlights
5 exchanges- Q
Why is panic gripping Kiev and the collective West as Ukraine crumbles?
Alex Christoforou asked00:00AAlexander Mercouris answeredThe madness is a product of the gathering slow-motion collapse — on the front lines, in the war in the sky, in the economy. It is gradually being understood in Kiev, Western capitals and the United States that this war is being lost. They kept telling themselves the Russians could be scared or bribed, that some new miracle weapon, the drone offensive or new sanctions would turn everything, that Putin would fall — now they sense the miracle is not coming. The Leipzig drone incident — an An-124 parked on a runway, a drone 'found' beside it — feeds the narrative of Russian hybrid war and escalation talk: the Russian House in Berlin closed, talk of suppressing internal EU dissent, US demands that Europeans pay cash for American weapons, while Zelensky pushes the UN to close Russian airspace and complains about the Russian satellite system. On the ground: a Ukrainian force trapped in Kharkov region, resistance in Orekhov near collapse, Dobropillya lost, the complicated battle north of Slavyansk ending in a conclusive Russian victory; Kiev attacked day and night, air-defense missiles exhausted, the economy in deep crisis — and a two-day public gunfight between the intelligence and security agencies, partly over closing money flows. The wheels are coming off.
- Q
Where would the 36 billion for Zelensky's administration actually come from?
Alex Christoforou asked10:29AAlexander Mercouris answeredZelensky is asking for 36 billion just for his administration and another 27 billion for the military. The Europeans would have no problem with the military money — they see it eventually coming back to them — but the 36 billion for the administration is money just gone, lost to corruption. There was never any clear understanding of where Europe would even get the 90 billion: they were going to raise loans and bonds and the like. The UK defense ministry is absolutely broke — telling the army to cut back on non-essential training because there is no money. Germany is crumbling: Volkswagen in big trouble, Merz making excuses about China's fault and Trump's fault, when it is Merz's fault and the globalist German elite's fault, because they cut all trade and all cheap energy from Russia.
- Q
Even if Europe found the money — what could Zelensky buy, and what does Trump want paid back?
Alex Christoforou asked12:09AAlexander Mercouris answeredEven with money there is nothing to buy: no interceptors, no Patriot missiles — the US doesn't have anything to sell them. And now Trump says he wants money from the Europeans for all the weapons Biden gave them free; Mercouris expects the eventual figure to be around 300 billion, and if anything that is lowballing the Biden-period total. As for the 90-billion-euro loan: the bonds had no repayment date — they were supposed to be repaid when Russia was defeated and paid Ukraine reparations, which is to say never — so no investor would ever buy them. The bonds were never placed, the money was never raised, and the loan properly speaking does not exist; some governments, meaning Germany, have advanced money and set it against the package. Even fully paid, it would not have covered one year of Ukraine's costs, let alone the promised two — the drone wars, the Black Sea blockade and the collapsing economy have killed domestic funding. It is more money thrown down the drain — the drain which has the golden toilets at its start.
- Q
Is there anyone left in Washington who can pull the US out of Project Ukraine?
Alex Christoforou asked27:10AAlexander Mercouris answeredRatcliffe's claim — Russian soldiers having 35 minutes to live when sent to the front line — came from one relatively small Telegram channel based completely on rumor and hyperbole, which said it had sourced the fact from an article it provided no reference for and nobody could find; the CIA director repeated it over and over. There are rational people around the administration trying to get through to Trump — the well-informed world the hosts met around Chattanooga — but inside it their number shrinks daily: Dan Driscoll, one of the best people around, is gone. Treasury Secretary Bessent is clearly not keen on Ukraine and does not like Zelensky — who, by one firsthand account, spent a meeting screaming at him — but such people have not broken through. The dominant voices have been Ratcliffe, Kellogg and the congressional hardliners — Richard Blumenthal, Tom Cotton, with Lindsey Graham now gone — and they have won the internal battles, which is exactly why Trump is in the position he is in.
- Q
Can Zelensky survive — and what happens to the war after Kiev falls?
Alex Christoforou asked32:58AAlexander Mercouris answeredNothing short of a coup will remove Zelensky, and for now the Europeans keep him: when Fedorov suggested new presidential elections they were horrified, told him to back off and bought him off with a cushy job in Italy. He has accomplices in Kiev — an SBU deeply tied to his operation, led by a loyal man with a dark reputation — men with guns to protect him. The real threat: if the Azov brigades defending Donbass become trapped, enough ruthless, angry Azov people remain outside, and Mercouris can imagine Biletsky — who will not let himself be encircled — returning to Kiev and launching a coup, caring nothing for what the Europeans say. Zelensky's plan: hold on, keep the money flowing, pay off enough people, then board the last train with suitcases bulging with cash — French bodyguards, further security steps, a government in exile probably in France that the Europeans would back as a revenue stream. Even so the conflict does not end when the Russians take Kiev — or Lvov. No insurgency is coming: a population mostly of pensioners is not the demographic. But the dirty war continues — another officer killed in Saratov by the Engels air base — and Russia will mirror every attack with a bigger one. It will be very ugly.
